Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000029 0.000032 0.000035 0.000038 0.000041 0.000045 0.000049
2025-12-14 0.000025 0.000028 0.000032 0.000036 0.000041 0.000047 0.000054
2025-12-21 0.000022 0.000026 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048 0.000058
2025-12-28 0.000020 0.000024 0.000028 0.000034 0.000040 0.000049 0.000060
2026-01-04 0.000018 0.000022 0.000026 0.000032 0.000040 0.000049 0.000062
2026-01-11 0.000017 0.000021 0.000025 0.000032 0.000040 0.000051 0.000066
2026-01-18 0.000016 0.000020 0.000026 0.000033 0.000042 0.000054 0.000072
2026-01-25 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000038 0.000051 0.000068 0.000093
2026-02-01 0.000016 0.000021 0.000028 0.000037 0.000049 0.000067 0.000093
2026-02-08 0.000015 0.000020 0.000026 0.000035 0.000048 0.000066 0.000094
2026-02-15 0.000014 0.000019 0.000026 0.000035 0.000048 0.000067 0.000097
2026-02-22 0.000014 0.000018 0.000024 0.000034 0.000047 0.000067 0.000098
2026-03-01 0.000012 0.000017 0.000023 0.000032 0.000046 0.000066 0.000099
2026-03-08 0.000011 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031 0.000045 0.000066 0.000101
2026-03-15 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000030 0.000044 0.000066 0.000104
2026-03-22 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000029 0.000043 0.000065 0.000105
2026-03-29 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000042 0.000065 0.000106
2026-04-05 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000027 0.000042 0.000066 0.000110
2026-04-12 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000028 0.000044 0.000070 0.000120
2026-04-19 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000033 0.000053 0.000088 0.000156
2026-04-26 0.000009 0.000013 0.000020 0.000031 0.000051 0.000086 0.000156
2026-05-03 0.000008 0.000013 0.000019 0.000030 0.000050 0.000085 0.000156
2026-05-10 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000030 0.000050 0.000086 0.000161